Small Groups of Correlated Researchers

Summary: The actions taken this decade may be exceptionally important for the future of civilization, but we should be unusually hesitant to proclaim that any course of action is “best.” Still, we should think carefully about what we should do. This post was written as part of an introduction to a new reading group I’m starting called “Doing Good in the Age of AGI.” If you want to follow along, the full curriculum can be found here . Uncertain in the best of times Do you think freezing rent prices would be good for the economic middle class? How confident are you? You might have an answer that you like, but you’re probably not that confident in it. Perhaps you haven’t formally studied economics, but maybe you’ve had some passing interest in the topic. Ever since Mamdani’s mayoral campaign became a talking point across the country, or since his rent freeze passed in June of 2026, discussion of this economic policy has shifted back into the public spotlight. Maybe you’ve tried to read the arguments on both sides, and you’ve noticed that there’s a lot to read. As it turns out, people are opinionated enough that 82% of renters and homebuyers believe there should be caps on rent increas