By the Time Everyone Catches Up, It Will Already Be Too Late

According to Andrej Karpathy’s recent approximations: 80% have no access to AI, no interest in it, or actively spurn it. 20% casually only see free-tier derpy chatbots as a better Google search or writing aid. Just 0.2% have seen agents complete complex projects with a prompt that used to take weeks or months. And somehow, people who know the least about AI are the most certain about what it can’t do. “It’s just autocomplete bro.” “It can’t tell the truth.” “Everything it makes is slop.” Guess you tried ChatGPT in 2023 and apparently learned everything you’ll ever need to know. We’ve all heard about the technological divide. My grandmother never touched a computer. Anything beyond calls and texts on her smartphone meant another call about how “the damn thing is broken again.” But she got along just fine. Worked until retirement. Lived independently until hospice. She could ignore the computer revolution because it unfolded over decades. She was fine. We don’t have decades. Give it 5 years. With recursive self-improvement, even that may be generous. How many of that 80% will still be congratulating themselves for being too wise and righteous to use AI? Sure, someone starting in 2028