My tentative plans given less than one year left to change course [Linkpost]

This mad race must end. Note: I think this is partially me working through my plans and partially my emotions, so imo it's less epistemically rigorous than ideal for LessWrong. I might have less than a year left to affect the insane, reckless, Faustian race to ASI, and I plan to spend that time doing everything I can to push for a pause. I currently think there’s a decently high chance that by default, there’s 6-12 months left before my personal point of no return: the point after which my own actions no longer plausibly affect the future. This is different from other people’s points of no return: for example, people like Dario Amodei (CEO of Anthropic) or Donald Trump may have slightly longer times to wake up and change course. This is also different from other timelines that people sometimes throw around, like timelines to AGI or ASI or fully automated remote-worker or whatever. However, it is the most important for my own decisions. I do not defend this position here. Other people have written partial explanations that I like ( Karthik , AI Futures Project , Sentinel , Rutger Bregman ). I may also write more accessible explainers in the near future. Regardless, humanit